Sunday, November 20, 2005

NFL Week 11 Picks

So I have a pedestrian 18-8 (although it should be 20-8) record for the past two weeks. Not outstanding but at least I'm not at 500 (like Chris Berman). I copied all the games this time (instead of doing them one by one) so that I'm sure to pick all 14 games. I'm making these picks early on Sunday morning so two things... they are really quick picks (i'm doing em fast) and that gives me an "out" if I go 6-8. My quick thought is that alot of these games are really toss ups, not exactly close games, but toss ups at first sight. Which makes me think that if I spent some time thinking about it, I should do better... but that doesn't mean I would... so anyways.... here goes:

at Atlanta OVER Tampa Bay - Atlanta is better than last week, and Tampa Bay is worse than last week.

Carolina OVER at Chicago - Chicago's record is due to their schedule, I don't think they are as good as people seem to think.

Miami OVER at Cleveland - I still don't like Miami, but I like them better than Cleveland.

at Dallas OVER Detroit - Dallas got lucky last week so this reeks of a trap game, but I can't bring myself to pick Detroit on the road.

at Denver OVER NY Jets - I like Denver but I just don't trust Jake Plummer... but I trust him against whoever is QBing for the Jets.

Indianapolis OVER at Cincinnati - Indy has to lose at some point this year and this is certainly a candidate for that. But the Bengals are just to inexperience to pick... even at home.

Jacksonville OVER at Tennessee - The Jaguars are the team I think will beat Indy... and I'm saying that because there really is nothing to say about this game.

Kansas City OVER at Houston - Trent Green threw interceptions as if the Chiefs got points for them last week, ruining my KC over Buffalo pick. He could do the same thing this week and still beat the Texans.

at New England OVER New Orleans - I'm picking the Patriots because the Saints are so unstable but I REALLY want to pick New Orleans and I would if I were picking against the 9 1/2 point spread.

at NY Giants OVER Philadelphia - Another game where I REALLY want to pick the underdog (Philly). Again I would pick them against the 7 point spread.

Pittsburgh OVER at Baltimore - Baltimore should have taken advantage of the game that was close in Pittsburgh. I don't see them doing as well... even at home. (This pick is the one I'm thinking is biting me in the rear, btw)

at San Diego OVER Buffalo - A good team against a bad one... what else can I say.

Seattle OVER at San Francisco - Ibid. (can I use that for picks? in other words same things goes here as for the last pick.)

at St. Louis OVER Arizona - A not so good team at home against a bad team... I'll go with the the not so good team.

at Washington OVER Oakland - Norval Eugene Turner has no business winning at FedEx Field since he couldn't even do it consistenly as the Redskins head coach. BUT let me say this, If this were in Oakland I would pick Oakland.

at Green Bay OVER Minnesota - Here are two teams that seem to currently be better than their records. So I'm going with the home team. So I'll try this again: I see the Packers finally win their first game in Lambeau this season. (BUT, if Minnesota wins, I'm picking them to win the NFC North... Yeah I might regret that. I'm going to check Chicago's remaining schedule to see if that makes sense.)

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