NFL Week 13 Picks

Remember how I commented awhile back how Taylor Jacobs looked slow? Well obviously I don't follow the Redskins that much because I didn't remember that he had gotten hurt earlier this year. The Post has an article about how he has potential but he keeps getting hurt. In it he says that he's not entirely healed... so I'll blame that for his performance in the Oakland game. Anyways, I'm still going through with my threat of picking against the Redskins for the rest of the year.

This week the "against the Skins" pick definitely looks bad. (In fact, I'm making it my "bite me in the butt" pick. I sort of have two of these this week.) The Skins are going against a rookie QB (from Harvard) who brought the Rams back from certain defeat against the Texans last week. The Redskins have just one loss to a team with less than 7 wins this season (Oakland). The Rams have two and they're doozies... 49ers and Cardinals.

The only thing the Rams have going for them is that they are playing in St. Louis. (But, their last home game was a loss to the Cardinals.) No matter though, I am sure the Redskins will find a way to keep this game close and maybe even win it. Then all the coaches will talk about how "this is a first step", and "they keep fighting", and "they need not look past Arizona." Ugh... I can't wait.

Anyways... on to this week's picks!

Arizona OVER at San Francisco - So I have a picking theory, that I'll expound on in another post, where you pick "dogs" for the season. My season top dogs are San Francisco and Houston.

at Baltimore OVER Houston - Since you could just reread the previous pick, I'll use this space to mention that Baltimore and Arizona are secondary dogs. These games are gonna be FUN!

at Carolina OVER Atlanta - I always say that "I hate to keep going with favorites.." but there is usually a good reason why teams are favored. In this case I agree. Carolina has laid two eggs the past two weeks and won one. I only see one reason why Atlanta should beat Carolina... Michael Vick. BTW I think any game in which I pick against Michael Vick should automatically be a "bite me in the butt" pick.

Green Bay OVER at Chicago - 21st, 25th, 26th, 27th, 17th, 32nd, 23rd, and 22nd. That is the offensive ranking of Chicago's last 8 opponents. Look at their weak schedule, so trust me they're doomed for a repeat of their 2001-02 season. Plus Brett Favre is about 113-0 at Soldier Field.

Denver OVER at Kansas City - I'm beginning to believe in Denver, even though Jake Plummer is the QB and they got lucky against the Redskins or better put, the Redskins sent back the gift wrapped victory the Broncos handed them at Mile High.

at Indianapolis OVER Tennessee - I would only pick against Indy if it were away and on grass. They only have 2 more away games, Seattle and Jacksonville, and Seattle has FieldTurf. We'll see next week if I've got the mettle to pick the Jaguars next week.

Jacksonville OVER at Cleveland - This game has trap written all over it. Cleveland has it in them to beat the Jaguars, it just depends on if the Jaguars have it in them to stay in this game, and not next weeks game.

at Miami OVER Buffalo - I'm going with Miami with Nick Saban (who I'm not down on yet) at home over Buffalo who has yet to win on the road.

Minnesota OVER at Detroit - Remember how a few weeks ago I said if Minnesota beat Green Bay at Lambeau, I would pick them to win the NFC North? Well I checked Chicago's schedule and I'm catiously optimistic. After this weekend, I'm making the call.

at New England OVER NY Jets - Betting wise, I'ld take the 10 pt underdog Jets to beat the spread.

at NY Giants OVER Dallas - Eli plays well at home and Dallas doesn't seem to run the ball well enough to win on the road... In fact, aside from the Philly debacle, they haven't won on the road since September... at San Francisco!

at Pittsburgh OVER Cincinnati - Remember how at the beginning of this season, I said I didn't like Pittsburgh's offense? Well, they are currently ranked #24 (#26 passing) and I don't think it's because Ben Roethlisberger has been hurt. Anyways, I'm only picking the Steelers because they're at home and because the Bengals are too young.

at San Diego OVER Oakland - The two teams that recently beat the Redskins so I can say this with confidence: Oakland stinks and San Diego doesn't. But trust me, that doesn't say much about San Diego. (And it says even less about the Skins.)

at New Orleans OVER Tampa Bay - Remember how Tampa Bay sucks? Well, the Saints have been doing remarkably well all things considered... They've only been blown out once (at Lambeau Field 52-3). The Bucs will probably make it a close game though.

at St. Louis OVER Washington - Every so often, I think to myself: Why torture myself watching the Skins... So this is my revenge of sorts.


Seattle at OVER Philadelphia - Kinda looks like Philly over Seattle is the glamour upset pick for NFL picks around the country. And just because the Seahawks couldn't put the Giants away. But, I am not picking a team who's only victory on the road came because Kansas City shut it down after going up big in the first quarter. BTW, check out who "fueled" the Eagles comeback against the Chiefs with 11 catches for 171 yards and a TD. None other than Señor TO.